Projects

SEASCApe “Storm surges, sea-level rise and adaptation responses of the German Baltic coast”, aims at improving the understanding of the occurrence of current and future extreme water levels at the German Baltic Sea, improving methods for socio-economic assessment of coastal flood risks and to improve stylized models for regional-scale flood impact assessment and decision-analytical methods for adaptation to sea-level rise (SLR) under deep uncertainty. The project is now in its second phase (SEASCApe II), going beyond SEASCApe Baltic which assesses the occurrence probability of compound flooding and explores how the consideration of compound events affects exposure and impact analysis and the application of adaptive decision-support methods for two case cities. The main objectives of this project are: 1) To improve the available data on the occurrence of compound events in the Baltic Sea for use in impact assessment and decision analysis under the consideration of compound events. 2) To assess flood impacts from compound events under present and future socioeconomic pathways and different adaptation options or their combinations. 3) To develop and apply adaptive decision-support methods that consider ‘second-order’ SLR and other relevant climate information. Addressing the challenge of adapting to SLR in general and for the Baltic coast in particular requires a close collaboration of natural and social science disciplines. Thus, the project is distributed among three working groups: WP1) Forschungsinstitut Wasser und Umwelt (fwu), University of Siegen (Dr.-Ing. Sönke Dangendorf and Prof. Dr.-Ing Jürgen Jensen), WP2: Coastal risks and sea-level rise research group, Geography Department, Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel (CAU) (Prof. Dr. Athanasios Vafeidis) and, WP3) Global Climate Forum (GCF), Berlin (Dr. Jochen Hinkel). It is funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and is integrated in the Special Priority Program (SPP-1889) Regional Sea Level Change & Society.

Related Research Areas